Destination Intelligence

Los Cabos

The desert meets two seas at the Baja tip: Mexico's most expensive hotel corridor, powered by US airlift, golf and the Pedregal villa set.

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Los Cabos at a glance

Key indicators
Top-shelf average
~$900
nightly at the flagships — Las Ventanas, One&Only Palmilla, Waldorf Astoria Pedregal. The Americas' priciest corridor
Golf courses
18
championship layouts between Cabo San Lucas and San José — Nicklaus, Woods, Norman
Airport passengers
7M+
Los Cabos International, mostly US nonstops — the demand engine
Swimmable beaches
Few
strong currents: choose the cove (Palmilla, Chileno, Santa María), not the brand

Who comes to Los Cabos

Official statistics
18.3M+
foreign air tourists to Mexico in Jan–Nov 2025 (SECTUR) — Los Cabos is Mexico’s Pacific rate leader
United States
12.24M (67% of air arrivals)
Canada
2.4M (+20.5% vs 2019)
United Kingdom
408K

Foreign air arrivals by market, Jan–Nov 2025

Source: SECTUR — Ministry of Tourism, Mexico · Verified September 2026

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Collections to come

Curated selections

The Icons

Las Ventanas, Palmilla, Pedregal · from $1,000

East Cape Frontier

Four Seasons Costa Palmas · from $700

Corridor Golf & Spa

Esperanza, Montage, Chileno Bay · from $800

Research dossier

From the TIO Comparisons series
Mexico · 2026

Los Cabos: the rate ladder

What we are watching

Signals

The full Los Cabos Market Brief is in production. These are the desk notes shaping it.

2026TIO desk

Ultra-luxury supply keeps coming

Aman, St. Regis and Park Hyatt projects extend the corridor east — watch what new keys do to the $900 shelf.

2026TIO desk

The swimmability premium

True swimmable-cove resorts price above their brand peers; the desk maps which coves justify it.

2026TIO desk

Hurricane-season pricing

September–October discounts are real but so is the storm window — the calendar trade we will quantify.

Reports on the destination

Destination reports
Issue № 01 · Autumn–Winter 2026/27
Destination
Market Brief
Los Cabos · Market Intelligence

Destination Market Brief

For the traveller

Where the Los Cabos market actually stands — demand, pricing, districts decoded, the booking calendar, and the honest frictions. Verified against 2026 data.

Read the brief →
Issue № 02 · 2026–2030
Hotel Development
Brief
Los Cabos · Investment Intelligence

Hotel Development Brief

For the investor and developer

Supply, pipeline, capital lanes and scenarios to 2030 — who is building what in Los Cabos, where the returns are, and what kills the unprepared.

Read the brief →

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